Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.283865 0.330250 0.383598 0.449892 0.530616 0.626428 0.749805
2025-08-24 0.210914 0.268704 0.343088 0.447548 0.593233 0.793490 1.097323
2025-08-31 0.168657 0.228620 0.312092 0.440137 0.637871 0.942857 1.472765
2025-09-07 0.146127 0.208152 0.300157 0.452078 0.708182 1.145931 2.009028
2025-09-14 0.125371 0.185484 0.279142 0.443068 0.739791 1.292505 2.509226
2025-09-21 0.112034 0.171466 0.268262 0.447012 0.792986 1.493352 3.215546
2025-09-28 0.100609 0.158499 0.256451 0.446032 0.835613 1.686799 4.012223
2025-10-05 0.093483 0.151500 0.253434 0.460232 0.912023 1.981360 5.257219
2025-10-12 0.086924 0.144465 0.249039 0.470493 0.982612 2.290749 6.778957
2025-10-19 0.081087 0.137888 0.244363 0.479002 1.051578 2.626180 8.680614
2025-10-26 0.076694 0.133365 0.242877 0.493976 1.141016 3.062095 11.415599
2025-11-02 0.071838 0.127346 0.237470 0.498903 1.206070 3.457661 14.460548
2025-11-09 0.067033 0.120996 0.230751 0.500120 1.263926 3.870703 18.241580
2025-11-16 0.062342 0.114377 0.222628 0.496522 1.307960 4.266154 22.637908
2025-11-23 0.057809 0.107594 0.213248 0.487951 1.334719 4.615696 27.460198
2025-11-30 0.055320 0.104771 0.212308 0.501457 1.438152 5.362066 37.195213
2025-12-07 0.051517 0.098771 0.203317 0.491236 1.458055 5.748476 44.913596
2025-12-14 0.048989 0.095273 0.199749 0.495706 1.533004 6.470723 58.833660
2025-12-21 0.046369 0.091314 0.194588 0.494595 1.587580 7.138583 75.196056
2025-12-28 0.044889 0.089752 0.195091 0.510700 1.717322 8.373220 107.569504
2026-01-04 0.043277 0.087729 0.194184 0.522345 1.834808 9.671724 152.219537
2026-01-11 0.041681 0.085593 0.192721 0.532008 1.949178 11.100312 216.367312
2026-01-18 0.040505 0.084329 0.193388 0.549023 2.106878 13.092809 330.497634